Benoit Saint Denis enters the July 11 co-main event at UFC 329 as a small betting favorite over Paddy Pimblett, and the line has tightened a bit from the opener, which makes this one of the more live fights on the card. Benoit Saint Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett is booked for the UFC 329 main card on Saturday, July 11, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with the fight carrying clear ranking value in a crowded lightweight class.
The current market shows Saint Denis as a slight favorite, with one July 7 line listing him at -140 and Pimblett at +110, while another July 8 snapshot had Saint Denis at -135 and Pimblett at +115 with online sports betting canada. Earlier pricing from June 26 was wider, with Saint Denis opening around -155 and Pimblett at +130, so bettors have seen money come in on Pimblett over time even though Saint Denis has stayed on the favorite side.
That shift is modest, but it tells a useful story. Saint Denis opened as the more trusted side, then the number softened from -155 to the -140 or -135 range, while Pimblett improved from +130 to +110 or +115, which signals a market that sees this matchup as competitive rather than one-sided.
Benoit Saint Denis still favored, but Paddy Pimblett is live at UFC 329
In plain terms, an opener of -155 implied a stronger edge for Saint Denis than the later -140 or -135 prices. Pimblett’s move from +130 toward +110 suggests bettors gave him more respect as fight week got closer.
Saint Denis is trying to protect his place as a proven lightweight threat, while Pimblett is trying to erase the sting of the first UFC loss of his career and show he still belongs in the division’s upper group. This fight as a pivotal lightweight matchup at UFC 329.
For Saint Denis, a win keeps him in the mix as a dangerous action fighter who is hard to ignore in matchmaking. For Pimblett, a win over a ranked and respected opponent would quickly reset the narrative after his January loss and restore momentum in a division where one big result can change the board fast.
From a betting angle, this looks like a classic close favorite spot. Saint Denis is priced as the more trusted side, but the drop from -155 to the mid -130s or -140 range shows that confidence is not overwhelming. Pimblett’s move from +130 to near +110 says the underdog has drawn support, and that makes this one of the tighter and more interesting numbers on the UFC 329 card.
For the UFC 329 main event, Max Holloway enters his July 11 rematch with Conor McGregor as the clear betting favorite, with recent lines placing Holloway between -213 and -230 while McGregor sits between +183 and +195, a major shift from the opening number that had Holloway as high as a -550 favorite and McGregor at +420. McGregor is fighting for a successful return after more than five years away from the Octagon, while Holloway is trying to shut down the comeback story in a headliner set for T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas during International Fight Week.
